Monday, July 10, 2006

A Castle of One's Own


The very top of the housing market is still swelling. Nationwide, nearly 200 dwellings are listed for sale for more than $20 million, experts estimate, and brokers say that the pace of these homes selling has remained relatively brisk. Donald Trump is asking $125 million for his oceanfront compound in Palm Beach. At the moment, that's believed to be the most expensive listing in America. The run-up in mortgage rates has little effect on mansion buyers, partly because many pay cash.

http://online.barrons.com/article_print/SB115232143619501399.html

Monday, July 10, 2006

By ROBIN GOLDWYN BLUMENTHAL

IT MAY BE OF LITTLE CONSOLATION to Joe Home Owner, but at least one segment of the housing market is holding up just fine: the realm of the über mansion. These sprawling estates, many costing $20 million and up, are finding plenty of buyers among the swelling ranks of the superrich.

"So far, the very top of the housing market is defying the housing trend," says William Zeckendorf, a developer and co-chairman of the New York real-estate brokerage Brown Harris Stevens. In fact, he and others say, the market for these modern-day castles is, in some locations, actually stronger than last year.

Make no mistake, these aren't $2 million McMansions or even $10 million trophy homes. In those price ranges, realty brokers report, some clear signs of softness have been turning up. And in the overall residential market, price increases have slowed dramatically.

America's truly grand mansions, from Greenwich, Conn., to Bel-Air, Calif., are in a market of their own, subject to their own forces of supply and demand. Right now the demand side could scarcely be healthier: The number of super-wealthy individuals, or those with financial assets of more than $30 million, last year increased by more than 10% worldwide, to 85,400, according to a survey by Merrill Lynch and consulting firm Capgemini.

And there's no shortage of spectacular homes to choose from. Nationwide, nearly 200 dwellings are listed for sale for more than $20 million, experts estimate. While not all will be snapped up right away, brokers describe the current sales pace as generally brisk.
In fact, the market is so strong that some have come to view it as a good place to park money amid the uncertainties of the global economy. How else to explain why one person with 10 homes decided to buy a $42 million apartment in New York? "He's hoping to spend three weeks out of the year there," says Dolly Lenz, vice chairman of Prudential Douglas Elliman in New York, who recently sold the apartment, located in the Time Warner Center. "That's the goal."
This 26,000-square-foot home is being marketed as a piece of Tuscany in Greenwich, Conn. It comes with 30 acres of land, "walk-in" fireplaces and a hand-crafted elevator in the atrium. The asking price: $31 million.

In Manhattan, that kind of money buys 360-degree views of the city and basement storage bins worth $100,000. Just outside the city, in Greenwich -- the land of hedge funds -- $31 million would be enough for a "European compound" now on the market. With its winding drive and vast lawns, the nearly 30-acre property is meant to put one in mind of Tuscany.
The delicious fragrance of wide-pine antique floors pervades the 26,000-square-foot home, which has everything from a 3,500-bottle wine cellar and "walk-in fireplaces" to a lower-level powder-room shower with Dutch-style doors for easy bathing of the hounds. In the kitchen, there's a pizza oven, a fireplace and a butcher's meat locker. Then there's the atrium, with 60-foot ceilings made of antique beams and an elevator made of hand-forged wrought iron.
For all it's old-world touches, the current owners started building it only three years ago and haven't quite finished it (the 12-seat entertainment room, for instance, isn't quite ready). So why would they want to sell?

"I think it overwhelmed them," says Julianne C. Ward, of Prudential Connecticut Realty, the listing agent for the property. And by the time the house was finally built, the couple's three children had grown up, leaving a monstrous empty nest and annual taxes north of $80,000.
In Beverly Hills, the $20-billion-plus market continues to gather steam, says Jeff Hyland, president of Hilton & Hyland Christie's Great Estates, a top broker in Los Angeles. "Trying to find something for $10 million has become extremely difficult, but it's easier to do than $20 million," he says.

This summer retreat on Boston's North Shore, in Manchester by the Sea, has 10-plus bedrooms, rare Russian walnut paneling -- and a $19.8 million price tag. So far this year, the Beverly Hills area has seen six sales of $20 million and above, compared to only two in all of last year.

THE BUYERS AND SELLERS of such properties, not surprisingly, often have boldface names. On the island of Palm Beach, Fla., financier Henry Kravis recently bought a $50 million property on the Intercoastal Waterway, and Bruce Toll of Toll Brothers paid just shy of $27 million for a lakefront house, according to Ava Van de Water, a broker at the Brown Harris Stevens office there. Ron Perelman recently sold a property for $22 million, and Donald Trump is asking $125 million for his oceanfront compound in Palm Beach. At the moment, that's believed to be the most expensive listing in America.

"We have people bidding $90 million, but I don't think he'll take anything less than $110 million," says Lenz of Prudential Douglas Elliman, the listing agent.

Though sellers of mainstream homes are seeing buyers pull back because of rising mortgage interest rates, that's not something Trump has to worry about in attracting takers.

"People who have money have money," avers Hall Wilkie, president of Brown Harris Stevens' residential sales. The ultra-high end is "a market that interest rates don't affect that much," he says, not least because many purchases are in cash. "It's a market that nothing affects as much."
Adds Patricia Lou Martin, co-owner of Kramer & Martin, a realty broker in Rancho Santa Fe, Calif.: "The big buyers of $10, $20 and $30 million dollar properties are not counting their pennies."

I'll Take Manhattan: Exclusive apartments are selling briskly in New York, providing a good clue about the strength of the market nationwide.

None of which is to say the luxury housing market doesn't have its stress points. Some brokers are reporting early signs of softness -- but that is mostly in lower price tiers, such as $5 million homes. In Manhattan, the middle-tier luxury market -- between $5 million and $15 million -- is slightly off, some say.

But at the nosebleed level, Manhattan and most other major markets look strong. In the first quarter, a total of 20 apartments ranging in price from $20 million to $32 million were sold in Manhattan, according to Prudential Douglas Elliman. Maintenance and taxes on the $32 million property, a 15-room place on the 79th floor of the Time Warner Center, come to $80,000 a month. There were 11 active listings of single-family homes, as of the end of March.
In the Hamptons, there are now a whopping 30-35 listings in the $20 million-plus range, along with eight to 10 other listings elsewhere on Long Island. And numbers like that don't even count the many so-called pocket listings -- private sales that never make it on to the multiple-listing service.

While homes of this ilk can easily take a year or longer to sell, that isn't always the case these days. "We recently listed a $25 million house that sold in the first week like it was a million-dollar house," says Gary Gold of Hilton & Hyland. He reckons there are now 21 homes with asking prices above $20 million in the "Platinum Triangle" of Bel-Air, Beverly Hills and Holmby Hills.

He attributes some of the strength in the market to "real-estate addicts," people who just can't stop buying or selling, remodeling or redecorating. There are many such people in show biz, he adds.

The Bottom Line
The run-up in mortgage rates has little effect on mansion buyers, partly because many pay cash. With demand booming, some sprawling estates are sold in just a week.

Cher, he notes, has had "at least a dozen homes around town," and Sylvestor Stallone and Eddie Murphy are also what Gold calls serious real-estate people. "The same houses keep coming on the market again and again," says Gold, who has sold some homes several times in a year.
GOLD SEES PEOPLE going to greater and greater lengths to assemble the perfect mansion. He tells of one client who built his house of Venetian plaster, complete with roof tiles imported from an 1850 villa in Tuscany and European tiles that are probably a couple of hundred years old. "He didn't want anything fake," says Gold. "Most people have a stockbroker. This guy had a beam broker."

The beams, incidentally, were from Canada and hewn before there was electricity.
There's probably a potential buyer for every type of mansion imaginable. "Our client base will tend to be quite opportunistic about real estate," says Anton Pil, head of fixed income at JP Morgan Private Bank. The ultra-high market "looks OK," he adds, because the consumer base is less sensitive to economic cycles, and "oftentimes, when you pay that kind of money for a home, there's something unique about it that tends to add value."

He says that more foreigners, whose currencies have appreciated against the dollar, are buying in the U.S. But it is also going the opposite way, with some American buyers heading overseas. These days, there's no telling where you might find the fortress of your dreams.

Wednesday, June 28, 2006

Illinois Housing Statistics

May Illinois Home Sales Second Highest on Record for May; Statewide Median Price at $206,000...Illinois Home Sales Solid in the First Quarter; Statewide Median Price at $197,381

Statewide total home sales came in ahead of last year’s record pace in the first quarter and the median home price increased 5.6 percent to $197,381. Total home sales, which include single-family homes and condominiums, were up 2.1 percent in Illinois during January through March. A total of 34,030 single-family homes and condominiums were sold across the state in the first quarter, compared to 33,318 sales in the same period in 2005.

“The unusually mild winter months helped boost home sales in the first part of the year while REALTORS expect a more moderate pace later in the year as mortgage rates slowly rise,” said Stan Sieron, CRS, GRI, president of the Illinois Association of REALTORS. “Following four consecutive record-breaking years for housing in Illinois, the fundamentals for a solid 2006 are in place. Inventory levels are up, mortgage rates are still historically low; and first-quarter indicators show continued economic growth in our region.”
First Quarter 2006 release
First Quarter 2006 charts (pdf file)





Quarterly and Year-End Charts and Releases 1Q06 Chart 1Q06 Release 2005 Chart
Monthly Releases
May 06 April 06 March 06 February 06 January 06
Monthly Stats At A Glance
Resources
Local Association Contacts / Counties Served (pdf)
Stats Release Schedule
Interest Rates
Illinois Homebuyer / Homeseller Profile
NAR market-by-market anti-bubble reports on REALTOR.org
NOTE: Starting with January 2005, single-family and condo sales and median price figures are reported by county. Prior to 2005, single-family home and condo sales and media price figures were reported by local association.


© Illinois Association of REALTORS®Disclaimer
REALTOR® is a registered trademark of the National Association of REALTORS®

Friday, June 16, 2006

Price Your Home RightTo Help Speed a Sale

By Marshall Loeb From Marketwatch

With home sales slumping and inventories on the rise, experts say getting your home sold depends a lot on pricing it correctly. One tool sellers can fall back on when the market is shifting is a home appraisal.

You can have an appraisal done before you contact a broker or if you're just curious what your home would be worth. They cost, on average, from $250 to $400 for a single-family home, slightly more for multiple-family dwellings.

An appraiser will physically inspect your house for shoddy workmanship or needed repairs, measure its dimensions and takes notes on the floor plan, utilities and other factors that affect pricing.

He or she should also look at three or four "comps" -- comparable homes in your neighborhood that have sold within the past six months -- and analyze how homes currently on the market are faring, says William J. Doka, owner and president of Erickson Appraisal Company in Fair Lawn, NJ.

That's a more comprehensive assessment of market conditions than the free comparative market analysis, or CMA, that a broker will give you, says Doka.

He cautions that brokers want to earn your listing and can be tempted to paint an overly rosy picture of how your home will sell while appraisers, although sometimes subject to similar pressure from mortgage brokers, strive to be objective.

The results of the appraisal will be presented to you in a report that can run from five pages, for a simple summary that suits most lenders and homeowners, to 50 pages or more for a "narrative" that banks might demand before financing the purchase of a multimillion-dollar home.

Homes are typically listed for sale at a price several percent above the appraised value.
Predictably, most of Doka's business comes from lenders, who typically require an outside appraisal before making a loan. But homeowners are also hiring him before contacting a broker. He charges from $350 to $400 to appraise a single-family home.

Some things to remember when looking for an appraiser:

Make sure the appraiser is licensed by your state.

Ask how long the business has been around, what professional education the appraiser has had and what organizations -- like the Appraisal Institute or the American Society of Appraisers -- the appraiser belongs to.
Copyright © 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

Wednesday, March 22, 2006

5 Simple Kitchen Remodels

Along with getting a great return on your investment, making the space work for your needs is important when considering a kitchen remodel. The most beautiful kitchen will only create stress for a homeowner if it isn't designed properly. Consider these tips for a kitcehn remodel that will simplify your daily routines.

Kitchens
Probably the busiest room in the house, a kitchen can serve a multitude of functions these days: cooking, eating, entertaining, and family gathering place.
1. Remodel by the work triangle. Designers have been using the kitchen work triangle to create efficient kitchens for many decades. The work triangle refers to the arrangement of the three basic work areas: the refrigerator, sink, and stove. You don't want these to be too far apart or you will spend a good deal of time running back and forth. Click this link to read more about work triangles.
2. Consolidate kitchen contents with a pantry. Walk-in pantries have become very popular as they allow a homeowner to quickly take in the kitchen's contents without having to search through the cupboards. If you're tight on space a pull-out pantry can be installed into areas as small as a few inches wide. A kitchen pantry is a great way to keep the kitchen traffic localized to one area, so that you can cook without interruption.
3. Don't waste space. Install cabinets that go all the way up to the ceiling add baskets and shelving inside to maximize storage space. Add a hanging rack for pots and pans to free up some cabinet space.
4. Let appliances do some of the dirty work. A dishwasher with a third rack can cut down on the number of times you have to load that dishwasher. Self-cleaning ovens are everywhere today. If you are in the market for energy efficient appliances, consider a dishwasher or even a refrigerator with the Energy Star rating. Click this link to read more about Energy Star Appliances.
5. Create areas for your kids. A couple of stools at the kitchen counter create an easy, informal place for kids to eat. Also, consider keeping your kids' snacks and beverages on lower shelves where they can easily access them.

Most everyone knows that kitchens have the best return on investment for remodeling projects. However, many homeowners get caught up thinking about granite counters, solid wood cabinets, and hardwood flooring trends and forget to consider how a kitchen lives, its flow, and whether or not it is energy efficient. Don't overlook these simple solutions to when choosing your kitchen remodel.
© Copyright 1999-2006, ServiceMagic, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Monday, March 20, 2006

Sellers who skip brokers may be losing their edge
Lew Sichelman, United Feature SyndicatePublished March 5, 2006
This is "The Case of the Missing 10 Percent." It's a tale of lost millions, and it stars a cast of thousands--the thousands of owners who sell their houses without professional help.It seems that in their desire to save the 5 to 7 percent fee that agents charge for their services, FSBOs--as in for sale by owners--get 16 percent less than owners of comparable houses who put the transaction into the hands of an experienced agent, according to a survey by the National Association of Realtors.
Colby Sambrotto of ForSaleByOwner.com, an online marketplace where do-it-yourselfers list their properties and pick up valuable tips on going it alone, disputes that figure.
"It just doesn't jibe with our experience," he said."We haven't put together a big study like [NAR's]," Sambrotto conceded. "But we ask all our sellers if they were successful, and 65 percent say they were. And we ask if they sold at or near their selling price, and 85 percent say they do."
But the 1.2 million-member NAR says it has the research to back up its claim. In what it calls the "largest and most authoritative" survey about how people buy and sell houses, a poll of 7,813 recent buyers and sellers through county deed records found that the median price achieved by sellers with agents was $230,000 versus $198,200 for sellers without agents.That's a difference of nearly $32,000, or 16 percent, with no significant differences between the types of homes sold.
NAR isn't alone when it says the desire to save the commission can backfire on sellers. Research by two University of Texas instructors found sellers realize little net gain when they turn to limited-service agents to perform some--but not all--the tasks needed to bring a contract to closing.The study found limited-service listings sold for 1.7 percent less than full-service listings and took 17.1 percent longer to sell.
Additional research may be warranted, said James Ford, a lecturer in the College of Business at the University of Texas at San Antonio, and Ron Rutherford, a professor of finance. But for now, they say, it seems that limited-service brokerage offers "no dollar advantage."Of course, not everyone does worse in the attempt to go it alone. At the top of the market, where even fixer-uppers are selling within hours, it's tough for sellers to make a mistake.
But forget for a moment that NAR's findings might be seen as self-serving. For argument's sake, let's say the Realtors are right, that in the effort to save 6 percent--the reason cited most frequently by what NAR calls "unrepresented sellers" for selling their homes themselves--sellers lose 16 percent.The mystery here is this: If you figure that would-be buyers automatically knock 6 percent off their offers to FSBOs because they know there's at least that much fat in their asking price, where goes the remaining 10 percent?One glaring clue appears to be the inability of FSBOs to market their houses as widely or as professionally as, well, the professionals.
Nearly two-thirds of the unrepresented sellers in the Realtors' study used yard sales to alert would-be buyers that their homes were on the market. And almost half used word-of-mouth. Some also advertised in their newspapers or for-sale-by-owner magazines. A third held open houses, and a small number used direct mail.These are all good tools. But fewer than one in five listed his or her home on the Internet, either with its own Web site or on one such as ForSaleByOwner.com. Yet, the NAR study found that three of four buyers--77 percent--went house hunting on the Web.
So go-it-alone house peddlers are missing a big part of the market.Virtually everyone who uses the Internet to house hunt is in the game, the survey found. They're not tire kickers; they're actively looking for properties for sale. And they want photos, detailed property information, virtual tours, interactive maps and neighborhood information before they make that first phone call or hop in the car.Internet users in the survey visited more houses than nonusers--a median of 11 versus 6, with 1 in 10 touring at least 25 properties before making a decision. And once they jumped behind the wheel, three of four went to see something that caught their attention while online.
Interestingly, the sites used most frequently by home searchers are controlled by brokers. Realtor.com, NAR's official site, was visited most often, followed by the sites operated by local multiple-listing services, real-estate companies and real-estate agents. Of course, to list a property on these sites, a seller must sign up with a broker, a full-service office at full commission or a discount firm that charges a smaller fee.
FSBOs in the NAR survey also said they had more difficulty in completing the necessary paperwork, preparing their homes for the market and setting the price than they did in attracting buyers.It's hard to see how handling the paperwork affects the selling price, but staging the house so prospects see it in its best light and determining the correct asking price can have a profound effect.
Face it, many folks don't know how to make their homes show well. They fail to remove the clutter, for example, or put away all those personal items that distract visitors. Mostly, though, they cannot view their places as the commodities they become once they are on the market. To them, the house is wonderful as it is, so they don't look at it through a buyer's eyes.
If there is a fatal mistake, though, it's probably that FSBOs don't price their properties correctly. Sambrotto contends they tend to price their houses too high. But too high or too low, do-it-yourselfers simply don't have the resources to determine a fair asking price.While there are a number of Internet sites--Sambrotto's is one--with valuation tools to help owners determine what their homes are worth, most agents have the best tool of all--the multiple-listing service.
Agents aren't always right. Indeed, they can misread the market too. But they have a sense of the market that nonprofessionals can't match.
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Write to Lew Sichelman c/o Chicago Tribune, Real Estate, 435 N. Michigan Ave., 4th floor, Chicago, IL 60611.
Or e-mail him at realestate@tribune.com. E-mail this story
Copyright © 2006, Chicago Tribune

Monday, January 16, 2006

Housing Market to 'Normalize' in 2006

(January 10, 2006) --
The key word for the housing market in 2006 is balance, with a return to a more normal rate of price growth, according to the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®.David Lereah, NAR’s chief economist, says current trends in the housing sector are healthy.
"We don’t need to break a record every year for the housing market to be good—in fact, cooling sales are necessary for the long-term health of this vital sector,” Lereah says. “A modest slowdown in home sales, coupled with improvements in housing inventory, means the market is in the process of normalization. That will help to bring balance between home buyers and sellers, yet sales will remain historically strong.”
After setting a fifth consecutive annual record, projected to be 7.10 million units for 2005, existing-home sales are forecast to ease by 4.4 percent to 6.79 million this year, which would be the second highest on record. New-home sales, which should be a record 1.29 million for 2005, are expected to decline 6.0 percent to 1.21 million in 2006—that also would be the second best year in history. Total housing starts for 2005 are seen at 2.07 million units—the highest since setting a record 1972—with a 6.6 percent slowing to 1.94 million this year.
“A lot of demand has been met over the last five years, and a modest rise in mortgage interest rates is causing some market cooling. Along with regulatory tightening on nontraditional mortgages, there will be fewer investors in the market this year,” Lereah says. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is likely to increase gradually to 6.7 percent during the second half of the year.
“This will preserve generally favorable affordability conditions and keep the housing market at a more sustainable sales pace.”
NAR President Thomas M. Stevens from Vienna, Va., says price appreciation should be at more normal levels across most of the country. “Buyers are no longer competing for a tight supply,” says Stevens, senior vice president of NRT Inc. “That means home prices generally will rise much closer to long-term norms, which is the overall rate of inflation plus one or two percentage points. Lower price appreciation will keep the door open to first-time buyers while preserving the investment advantages of home ownership for sellers.”
The national median existing-home price for all housing types, projected to jump 12.9 percent to $209,100 for 2005, is forecast to rise 5.1 percent to $219,700 this year. The median new-home price, which should be up 4.6 percent to $231,300 for 2005, is expected to increase 6.0 percent this year to $245,200.
Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index is projected to rise 3.4 percent for 2005 and 3.0 percent in 2006. Inflation-adjusted disposable personal income is forecast to increase 1.3 percent for 2005 and 4.6 percent this year.
Growth in the U.S. gross domestic product is likely to be 3.6 percent for 2005, with GDP seen at 4.0 percent this year.
The unemployment rate is expected to drop to 4.8 percent by the end of the year.—NAR