Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Chicago Home Sales

Crain's reported today..

The Chicago-area index seemed to hit bottom in April 2009, after a 27.4% drop from its September 2006 peak. The index rose steadily through last September but then started falling again. It now stands 28.6% below its peak and roughly where it was in May 2002.

S&P also reported that an index of Chicago-area condominium prices rose 5.2% from March to April. The local condo index fell 6.7% on a year-over-year basis and was down 22.5% from its peak in September 2007.

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

Chicago home sales jump 32% in May

By: Lorene Yue June 22, 2010, Chicago Business

(Crain's) — More homes were sold in Chicago in May than a year earlier, marking the ninth month in a row of year-over-year gains.

The Illinois Assn. of Realtors reported Tuesday that last month's sales of 2,057 single-family houses and condominiums represented a 32.1% increase from May 2009 sales. The median price also rose, up 2.2% to $230,000, from the same month last year.

The city's May sales uptick was also seen in the greater Chicago area, where 33.6% more homes were sold. The median price for those homes, however, fell, down 4.8% to $190,500.

Illinois home sales were up 27.1%. The median price of the 11,638 homes sold statewide last month was $157,00, a slight increase from the $156,000 median of May 2009.

The National Assn. of Realtors said Midwest home sales remained strong in May as the homebuyers tax credit drove sales nearly 22% higher than in May 2009. The credit called for offers to be made by April 30.

The data released Tuesday show 130,000 sales in the 11-state Midwest region in May. The median home price increased more than 2%, to $150,700.

Midwest sales again rose more than national ones. Nonseasonally adjusted figures show May home sales nationwide increased about 18% over last year.

The Associated Press-Re/Max Monthly Housing Report, which also was released Tuesday, showed home sales increasing in all but one of 12 major Midwestern cities tracked. Fargo, N.D., led the region with a 66% sales jump. Detroit reported the only sales decrease, a 15% drop.

For more information and a breakdown of Chicago area sales click here.

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Mortgage Rates at New Lows, Thanks to Europe's Debt Crisis

Here's some good news for the struggling US housing market: Thanks to the European debt crisis, mortgage rates are at historic lows.

The current average rate for a 30 year fixed loan is 4.87 percent, according to Bankrate.com. That's the lowest rate for the 30 years since Bankrate started keeping track 25 years ago.

Even jumbo loan rates-loans for more than $417,000-have fallen. The 30-year fixed jumbo loan is at an average rate of 4.5 percent, down from nearly 6 percent at this time last year.

"It's the best time in our generation to buy," says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's. "It may be the best time in any generation. Mortgage rates are so low and with homes prices down and lots of inventory, you couldn't pick a better time to buy or re-finance."

Europe's debt crisis is behind the drop. Nervous investors are flocking to the security of US Treasurys, which pushes down their yield and influences a host of consumer interest rates-including those on mortgages.

The decline is also good news for homeowners looking to refinance, particularly those who owe more on their mortgage than their house is worth.

"There's a tremendous window on re-financing," says Greg McBride, chief economist at Bankrate.com. "That's particularly true for people who can take advantage of the government's Home Affordability Refinance Program (HARP)-which allows home owners to refinance into low mortgage interest rates even if they're property value has gone down."

HARP, which was due to end at the end of this June, now runs through June of 2011.

"Think of the benefits if you buy or refinance now," says McBride. "Locking in now at the lower rates means more more bang for the buck and more breathing room for homeowners when it comes to payments."

But the decline in rates probably won't last long, analysts say. So homeowners need to move fast.

"I think they won't last much longer than a month or two at the best," says Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors. "I can see them going up to 5.5 percent by the end of June if not sooner."

The reasons? Yun says the worries over Europe will be fading soon and investors will be looking at other assets besides US Treasurys. And there's the US deficit, which will push up Treasury yields.

"The US is fortunate now that there's no pressure on interest rates," Yun goes on to say. "But going forward, higher rates will be needed for financing the debt."

Zandi agrees. "Yes, I can't see these rates being this low in three to four weeks," Zandi says. "Investor's will settle down and this current crisis (Europe) will pass and the focus will be back on US debt. It's really a now or never type of proposition, when it comes to getting these types of historic rates."

Source: CNBC

Monday, June 7, 2010

Rents up at downtown apartments for first time in 2 years

(Crain’s) — A construction wave coupled with 11.2% unemployment would normally make life miserable for apartment owners, but downtown landlords are holding up surprisingly well.

The occupancy rate for top-tier downtown apartment buildings rose to 93.6% in the first quarter, up from 91.4% in the fourth quarter and 90.9% in the year-earlier period, according to Appraisal Research Counselors, a Chicago-based consulting firm.

Including concessions like free rent, net rents at Class A buildings rose to $2.16 a square foot, up 3.9% from $2.08 in the fourth quarter and 1.9% from $2.12 in first-quarter 2009. It was the first year-over-year rent increase in two years.

“There’s just huge demand for rental product downtown right now, and owners have been quick to capitalize on it,” says Appraisal Research Vice-President Ron DeVries.

Apartment demand is usually low when unemployment is high, as would-be tenants try to save money by doubling up or living with their parents. But that’s not the case downtown, where many prospective condominium buyers are renting as they wait out the depressed condominium market.

“They’re not convinced that the market has bottomed out on the ownership side,” Mr. DeVries says.

That helps explain why a much-feared surge in apartment supply so far has not kept occupancies and rents from rising. Developers have added 4,077 units to the downtown market since the beginning of 2008 and will complete another 799 by the end of the year, according to Appraisal Research.

“Six months ago all of us were nervous,” says Steven Fifield, president of Chicago-based Fifield Cos., the developer of Alta at K Station, a new two-tower, 848-unit apartment project at 555 W. Kinzie St. in the West Loop.

The nerves have given way to relief. Fifield estimated it would lease about 10 units a week at Alta’s 420-unit west tower, which opened March 1. Instead, Alta is averaging more than 20 and the west tower is already 50% leased, Mr. Fifield says.

“The supply is getting absorbed substantially faster than I expected,” he says.

One key measure of demand is rising at its fastest pace of the past 10 years. The number of occupied downtown apartments rose by 2,190 units from first-quarter 2009 to first-quarter 2010, the biggest annual gain of the last decade, according to Appraisal Research.

By contrast, the number of occupied apartments fell in the last recession by more than 1,400 units.

Granted, developers are offering good deals to attract tenants, in many cases as much as two months of free rent. As a result, developers are collecting lower net rents than they projected when they broke ground, before the jobless rate soared.

And while downtown Class A net rents are rising again, they have fallen more in the current recession than they did in the last one. Net rents declined 13% from their peak in the third-quarter 2007 to their low of $2.08 a square foot in fourth-quarter 2009, according to Appraisal Research. They fell 12.4% in the prior recession.

Still, given how strong demand is, Mr. DeVries expects net rents to rise about 4% this year and occupancy to hit 95%.

“Once those jobs do start coming back, it will be fascinating to see what happens with rents,” he says.

If there is one spot where oversupply is a concern, it’s in the South Loop, where new construction and competition from condo rentals is depressing rents.

“There’s been a bit of divide in the market,” Mr. DeVries says.

But optimism is returning, with some developers already laying the groundwork for the new round of construction.

They are looking forward to 2012, when the economy is stronger and the market has had time to absorb the supply from the current development wave. After completing 2,234 units this year, downtown developers will finish none in 2011.

“There’s a lot of people talking now and trying to work up numbers for a new rental building,” Mr. DeVries says.

By: Alby Gallun May 24, 2010 for Chicago Business

First 5 Months' Condo Sales Dramatically Increased Compared to 2009

According to figures generated for ChicagoCondosOnline.com by MRED, the regional MLS, year-to-date sales of Chicago condos through May 2010 are:

* Up 47% in total dollar volume, to $1.3 billion
* Up 51% in units closed, to 4,229
* Down 6% in median sales price, to $262,000
* Down 4% in average market time, to 150 days.


Comparing May sales to April:

* Units closed were up 1%, from 1,030 to 1,083 closings
* Dollar volume was up 4%, from $328 million to $341 million
* Median sales price was down 2%, from $270,000 to $264,900
* Average market time was down 6%, from 154 days to 144 days