Thursday, March 15, 2012
Wednesday, November 10, 2010
Seasonality
Don't let the idea of seasonality in the market hold you back.
Now is a GREAT time to sell!
In Chicago's Gold Coast the fourth quarter boasts the highest median price, the 2nd highest number of units sold, and the 2nd highest price per square foot.
*Average over past 3 years
Now is a GREAT time to sell!
In Chicago's Gold Coast the fourth quarter boasts the highest median price, the 2nd highest number of units sold, and the 2nd highest price per square foot.
*Average over past 3 years
Tuesday, November 9, 2010
Aqua Wins Awards
Aqua was one of the big winners last week - receiving an Honor Award at the annual Design Excellence Awards gathering of the American Institute of Architects - the highest form of recognition in the "distinguished building category." Aqua was also named the world's best skyscraper in 2009 by the German-based building database Emporis.
Aqua has also been selected as one of five finalists for the 4th International Highrise Award. It is the only U.S. representative. The finalists were selected in Frankfurt/Main, Germany by an international jury of architects, engineers and property specialists. The other finalists are from Dubai, Tokyo, Bangkok, and Shanghai. The five finalists were selected for demonstrating "a positive trend that has the opportunity of exploring new building forms."
The 334-room hotel venture in Aqua has obtained a $66 million loan to finance the project and construction has started. The Radisson Blu, a new upscale brand run by Carlson Hotels Worldwide is scheduled to open next September - it is the first Raddison Blu Hotel in the U.S.
Aqua has also been selected as one of five finalists for the 4th International Highrise Award. It is the only U.S. representative. The finalists were selected in Frankfurt/Main, Germany by an international jury of architects, engineers and property specialists. The other finalists are from Dubai, Tokyo, Bangkok, and Shanghai. The five finalists were selected for demonstrating "a positive trend that has the opportunity of exploring new building forms."
The 334-room hotel venture in Aqua has obtained a $66 million loan to finance the project and construction has started. The Radisson Blu, a new upscale brand run by Carlson Hotels Worldwide is scheduled to open next September - it is the first Raddison Blu Hotel in the U.S.
Friday, November 5, 2010
Home Prices Stabilizing in Key Markets
Chicago's Loop is #3 Nationally!! Two of the top three are Chicago!
ZipRealty says in its third quarter report that homes in key markets all over the country are selling above the asking price.
The report shows that the spread between the sales-to-list price ratio lessened significantly in most markets, but high-end housing markets in many areas continued to offer great bargains for buyers.
The 10 hottest ZIP codes in the ZipRealty markets where the selling prices was greater than the asking price were:
1. Greater Grand Crossing – Chicago, Ill. (60619)
2. Oakland, Calif. (94603)
3. The Loop – Chicago, Ill. (60603)
ZipRealty says in its third quarter report that homes in key markets all over the country are selling above the asking price.
The report shows that the spread between the sales-to-list price ratio lessened significantly in most markets, but high-end housing markets in many areas continued to offer great bargains for buyers.
The 10 hottest ZIP codes in the ZipRealty markets where the selling prices was greater than the asking price were:
1. Greater Grand Crossing – Chicago, Ill. (60619)
2. Oakland, Calif. (94603)
3. The Loop – Chicago, Ill. (60603)
Thursday, November 4, 2010
Real Estate Revisited, Part 4
WHAT PLANNERS SEE
Regardless of whether home prices will stabilize or whether they'll fall further, many financial planners will be discussing expectations about home purchases and sales at client meetings. "The demand for housing has not gone away," says Jane King, president of Fairfield Financial Advisors in Wellesley, Mass. "People still want to own their own home or have a second home."
She adds that when a client wants to buy a home, her firm will model the purchase. "We'll show clients how buying the place will affect liquidity and the income they can expect in retirement."
The housing slump of the past few years has had a visible impact, though. "There's not as much euphoria among buyers as there was a few years ago," King explains. "They're more likely to offer a certain amount-what they think is a fair price-and then back off if the seller doesn't accept."
King recounts the story of a client negotiating to buy a second home now, from an estate. He offered $650,000; the seller wants $800,000. If the seller won't come down, she says her client will walk away from the deal. He doesn't think that there is a line of buyers who will be bidding against him, so the seller might reduce the asking price.
According to King, her clients who are looking to buy a home are not so worried about whether we've finally reached the absolute bottom in the housing market. "Buyers aren't concerned about prices going down more in the next year or two," she says. "They're in it for the long term, not to flip houses."
SELLER'S REMORSE
However, many home buyers are sellers too; they're moving up or down in the housing market. And not every would-be buyer is an eager seller.
Marc Freedman, who heads a financial planning firm in Peabody, Mass., says some of his clients are thinking about selling their house and downsizing. They might want to move into a retirement community, where they won't have to do as much home maintenance. However, a lot of them are reluctant to sell now because they don't think they'll get the price they want-they have a certain number in their heads as to what their houses are worth.
That number, unfortunately, might be based on what similar homes sold for in 2005 or 2006. Few sellers will get such a price now, so they're holding on to their present house. "Often, they don't realize how much it's costing them to stay there," Freedman says.
Those costs are not just the obvious ones, such as property tax and homeowner's insurance, according to Freedman. Clients also have maintenance costs, including landscaping and plowing. They may be paying a great deal for heating and electricity, especially if they're still living in the big house where they raised their kids. Freedman adds that some of his clients pay a great deal for expenses related to their home swimming pool, even though they might use it no more than three or four times a year."
Clients who are unwilling to sell might be greedy. In addition, they might be looking for an excuse not to pack up a house, Freedman says. "If clients are downsizing, they might be worried about fitting everything into a smaller home."
As Paul Gydosh Jr., managing director of Kensington Wealth Partners in Columbus, Ohio, points out, "Clients who want to sell one home and buy another have several options. They might wait to sell at a higher price, carry the costs of two homes (if they can afford it), rent their former home or sell it to their kids. The most common solution is to reduce their asking price, sell the old home and buy a new one."
Gydosh explores all the options with clients, helping them come to a conclusion. "We've seen instances where a home seller was frozen over a small gap between his asking price and the bid, and we pointed out how little a difference that would make in his net worth," he says.
In some Midwestern cities like Columbus, neither the housing boom nor the bust was as extreme as it was in other areas of the U. S. "Sellers here might not be so anchored to the price they believe their home is worth," Gydosh says. Therefore, they might not be as reluctant to lower their price to close a sale.
Even though sellers will likely have to accept a lower selling price, they could get a good price on the place they buy in today's market. Gydosh tells of a homeowner who sold his place for 10%-15% below the peak price and bought a house down the street for a 30% discount from the peak. "The new home has more square footage, and is also better suited for the wife's elderly mother to live with them."
Even outside the Midwest, there are areas where housing prices have held up relatively well. "Around here, home prices are down 5% to 15% from the peak," says Eleanore Szymanski, principal at EKS Associates, a financial planning firm in Princeton, N.J. "At today's levels, some clients are willing to sell-and they're able to. One $700,000 home sold in three weeks; the sale fell through because of mortgage problems. When the house went back on the market it sold again, in another three weeks."
As Szymanski's anecdote indicates, lenders' extreme caution may be jeopardizing home sales now. "They're putting loan applicants through the ringer," she says. "Clients who are thinking about selling their home expect prices to move up, probably within the next three to five years, which could happen once the banks loosen up a bit." A return to the days of mortgages-for-anyone may not be desirable, but the residential housing market might look a lot healthier if lenders were as reasonable about the loans they make as they seem to be about the properties they have to sell.
By Donald Jay Korn
Read Part 1 Part 2 Part 3
Regardless of whether home prices will stabilize or whether they'll fall further, many financial planners will be discussing expectations about home purchases and sales at client meetings. "The demand for housing has not gone away," says Jane King, president of Fairfield Financial Advisors in Wellesley, Mass. "People still want to own their own home or have a second home."
She adds that when a client wants to buy a home, her firm will model the purchase. "We'll show clients how buying the place will affect liquidity and the income they can expect in retirement."
The housing slump of the past few years has had a visible impact, though. "There's not as much euphoria among buyers as there was a few years ago," King explains. "They're more likely to offer a certain amount-what they think is a fair price-and then back off if the seller doesn't accept."
King recounts the story of a client negotiating to buy a second home now, from an estate. He offered $650,000; the seller wants $800,000. If the seller won't come down, she says her client will walk away from the deal. He doesn't think that there is a line of buyers who will be bidding against him, so the seller might reduce the asking price.
According to King, her clients who are looking to buy a home are not so worried about whether we've finally reached the absolute bottom in the housing market. "Buyers aren't concerned about prices going down more in the next year or two," she says. "They're in it for the long term, not to flip houses."
SELLER'S REMORSE
However, many home buyers are sellers too; they're moving up or down in the housing market. And not every would-be buyer is an eager seller.
Marc Freedman, who heads a financial planning firm in Peabody, Mass., says some of his clients are thinking about selling their house and downsizing. They might want to move into a retirement community, where they won't have to do as much home maintenance. However, a lot of them are reluctant to sell now because they don't think they'll get the price they want-they have a certain number in their heads as to what their houses are worth.
That number, unfortunately, might be based on what similar homes sold for in 2005 or 2006. Few sellers will get such a price now, so they're holding on to their present house. "Often, they don't realize how much it's costing them to stay there," Freedman says.
Those costs are not just the obvious ones, such as property tax and homeowner's insurance, according to Freedman. Clients also have maintenance costs, including landscaping and plowing. They may be paying a great deal for heating and electricity, especially if they're still living in the big house where they raised their kids. Freedman adds that some of his clients pay a great deal for expenses related to their home swimming pool, even though they might use it no more than three or four times a year."
Clients who are unwilling to sell might be greedy. In addition, they might be looking for an excuse not to pack up a house, Freedman says. "If clients are downsizing, they might be worried about fitting everything into a smaller home."
As Paul Gydosh Jr., managing director of Kensington Wealth Partners in Columbus, Ohio, points out, "Clients who want to sell one home and buy another have several options. They might wait to sell at a higher price, carry the costs of two homes (if they can afford it), rent their former home or sell it to their kids. The most common solution is to reduce their asking price, sell the old home and buy a new one."
Gydosh explores all the options with clients, helping them come to a conclusion. "We've seen instances where a home seller was frozen over a small gap between his asking price and the bid, and we pointed out how little a difference that would make in his net worth," he says.
In some Midwestern cities like Columbus, neither the housing boom nor the bust was as extreme as it was in other areas of the U. S. "Sellers here might not be so anchored to the price they believe their home is worth," Gydosh says. Therefore, they might not be as reluctant to lower their price to close a sale.
Even though sellers will likely have to accept a lower selling price, they could get a good price on the place they buy in today's market. Gydosh tells of a homeowner who sold his place for 10%-15% below the peak price and bought a house down the street for a 30% discount from the peak. "The new home has more square footage, and is also better suited for the wife's elderly mother to live with them."
Even outside the Midwest, there are areas where housing prices have held up relatively well. "Around here, home prices are down 5% to 15% from the peak," says Eleanore Szymanski, principal at EKS Associates, a financial planning firm in Princeton, N.J. "At today's levels, some clients are willing to sell-and they're able to. One $700,000 home sold in three weeks; the sale fell through because of mortgage problems. When the house went back on the market it sold again, in another three weeks."
As Szymanski's anecdote indicates, lenders' extreme caution may be jeopardizing home sales now. "They're putting loan applicants through the ringer," she says. "Clients who are thinking about selling their home expect prices to move up, probably within the next three to five years, which could happen once the banks loosen up a bit." A return to the days of mortgages-for-anyone may not be desirable, but the residential housing market might look a lot healthier if lenders were as reasonable about the loans they make as they seem to be about the properties they have to sell.
By Donald Jay Korn
Read Part 1 Part 2 Part 3
Wednesday, November 3, 2010
Real Estate Revisited, Part 3
LOCATION, LOCATION
Molony's comments bring up a crucial point about housing prices. National data may be interesting, but it's not very helpful for planners advising clients who want to buy or sell a house on a specific lot. Lately housing price movements have varied enormously from place to place. The chart, "Regional Differences," on page 76, shows NAR's regional data on median sales prices of existing single-family homes.
As these numbers show, price declines in the western states over the last two years have been far steeper than in other regions of the United States, reflecting the huge boom in certain markets in previous years. Prices in the West plummeted 37% from 2007 through 2009. In many areas of the South and Midwest, however, prices did not go through a boom and bust in the early years of this century, so they may already be at or near the bottom of this cycle. Prices in the South fell 13.3% over the last two years, while prices in the Midwest were only down 11.5%
The shadow inventory threat will be most ominous in the areas with the greatest portion of distressed homeowners. RealtyTrac reports that California and Florida alone accounted for about 37% of all national foreclosure filings in August 2010. In areas with less speculative building and fewer distressed homeowners, the shadow cast by future housing supply might not be as long.
BALANCING ACT
The question is whether today's buyers should wait, for fear that shadow inventory will drag down prices even further in the next few years. Yun points to a hopeful indicator on the supply side.
"One aspect of the shadow inventory that people aren't talking about is the lack of inventory of newly constructed homes," he says. In a normal year, Yun explains, there is always a flow of new homes hitting the market that needs to be absorbed. But in today's market, the low level of housing starts has cut off the normal flow of new home inventory. "So the low number of new homes will help offset shadow inventory, providing some help in the overall inventory picture."
Luschini concurs that weak housing starts are good news for home prices. "We don't need more inventory now."
What's more, it may be unrealistic to expect millions of homes will be dumped on the market in the next few years, driving down prices. Lenders who find themselves overstocked with real estate-owned (REO) property are being cautious. "On the front end, seriously delinquent loans are rolling into foreclosure at an unusually slow rate," Saccacio says. "On the back-end, the dammed-up inventory of properties already in foreclosure is moving to REO in a steady stream rather than a flood-presumably to prevent further erosion of home prices."
Luschini also sees evidence of efforts to keep housing supply and demand on an even keel. "Many homes are owned by banks, ready to come back on the market," he says. "Banks don't want to be in the business of owning homes. At the same time, they are reluctant to bring too many homes to the market, for fear of exacerbating weakness in home prices."
Thus lenders may be both reluctant home owners and reluctant home sellers. "We see a tug-of-war," Luschini explains. "As the economic recovery continues, more homes will come to market from banks and other owners. This increased supply will keep prices down." On the other end of the rope, when excess supply threatens to pull prices down, banks may rein in the supply of foreclosed properties so that prices can firm up. Arnott agrees that such activity is "clearly going on" and will put a damper on housing prices.
Luschini concludes that home prices are likely to stay "flattish" for several years. The inventory will find its way onto the market, and there will be some continued softness. "Home prices might drop 5% or so, nationwide, but the price drops won't be anything like we've seen in the past few years," he predicts, adding that because the housing market is highly regionalized, some areas of the country may see higher prices while others suffer steeper drops.
What might put housing prices on solid footing? "The answer to price stability is more jobs," Luschini says "When more people are working, more people will be able to commit to service the debt that comes with home ownership." With unemployment still well over 9%, it may be awhile before housing prices can resume an upward surge. In the meantime, the national housing price indexes mighty not stray far from current levels as lenders expand and contract the supply of REO properties coming onto the market.
How might a foreclosure moratorium affect housing prices? In the short term, it could stem further housing price declines because it would preclude new inventory from hitting the market, according to Luschini.
In the longer term, supply will surge once the moratorium is lifted, and prices will fall, says Feifei Li, director of research at Research Affiliates. "The moratorium won't make troubled homes disappear. They will hit the market eventually and cause a big spike in supply, driving prices down further."
By Donald Jay Korn
Catch the conclusion in Part 4 tomorrow!
Miss Part 1 or Part 2? Read them now!
Molony's comments bring up a crucial point about housing prices. National data may be interesting, but it's not very helpful for planners advising clients who want to buy or sell a house on a specific lot. Lately housing price movements have varied enormously from place to place. The chart, "Regional Differences," on page 76, shows NAR's regional data on median sales prices of existing single-family homes.
As these numbers show, price declines in the western states over the last two years have been far steeper than in other regions of the United States, reflecting the huge boom in certain markets in previous years. Prices in the West plummeted 37% from 2007 through 2009. In many areas of the South and Midwest, however, prices did not go through a boom and bust in the early years of this century, so they may already be at or near the bottom of this cycle. Prices in the South fell 13.3% over the last two years, while prices in the Midwest were only down 11.5%
The shadow inventory threat will be most ominous in the areas with the greatest portion of distressed homeowners. RealtyTrac reports that California and Florida alone accounted for about 37% of all national foreclosure filings in August 2010. In areas with less speculative building and fewer distressed homeowners, the shadow cast by future housing supply might not be as long.
BALANCING ACT
The question is whether today's buyers should wait, for fear that shadow inventory will drag down prices even further in the next few years. Yun points to a hopeful indicator on the supply side.
"One aspect of the shadow inventory that people aren't talking about is the lack of inventory of newly constructed homes," he says. In a normal year, Yun explains, there is always a flow of new homes hitting the market that needs to be absorbed. But in today's market, the low level of housing starts has cut off the normal flow of new home inventory. "So the low number of new homes will help offset shadow inventory, providing some help in the overall inventory picture."
Luschini concurs that weak housing starts are good news for home prices. "We don't need more inventory now."
What's more, it may be unrealistic to expect millions of homes will be dumped on the market in the next few years, driving down prices. Lenders who find themselves overstocked with real estate-owned (REO) property are being cautious. "On the front end, seriously delinquent loans are rolling into foreclosure at an unusually slow rate," Saccacio says. "On the back-end, the dammed-up inventory of properties already in foreclosure is moving to REO in a steady stream rather than a flood-presumably to prevent further erosion of home prices."
Luschini also sees evidence of efforts to keep housing supply and demand on an even keel. "Many homes are owned by banks, ready to come back on the market," he says. "Banks don't want to be in the business of owning homes. At the same time, they are reluctant to bring too many homes to the market, for fear of exacerbating weakness in home prices."
Thus lenders may be both reluctant home owners and reluctant home sellers. "We see a tug-of-war," Luschini explains. "As the economic recovery continues, more homes will come to market from banks and other owners. This increased supply will keep prices down." On the other end of the rope, when excess supply threatens to pull prices down, banks may rein in the supply of foreclosed properties so that prices can firm up. Arnott agrees that such activity is "clearly going on" and will put a damper on housing prices.
Luschini concludes that home prices are likely to stay "flattish" for several years. The inventory will find its way onto the market, and there will be some continued softness. "Home prices might drop 5% or so, nationwide, but the price drops won't be anything like we've seen in the past few years," he predicts, adding that because the housing market is highly regionalized, some areas of the country may see higher prices while others suffer steeper drops.
What might put housing prices on solid footing? "The answer to price stability is more jobs," Luschini says "When more people are working, more people will be able to commit to service the debt that comes with home ownership." With unemployment still well over 9%, it may be awhile before housing prices can resume an upward surge. In the meantime, the national housing price indexes mighty not stray far from current levels as lenders expand and contract the supply of REO properties coming onto the market.
How might a foreclosure moratorium affect housing prices? In the short term, it could stem further housing price declines because it would preclude new inventory from hitting the market, according to Luschini.
In the longer term, supply will surge once the moratorium is lifted, and prices will fall, says Feifei Li, director of research at Research Affiliates. "The moratorium won't make troubled homes disappear. They will hit the market eventually and cause a big spike in supply, driving prices down further."
By Donald Jay Korn
Catch the conclusion in Part 4 tomorrow!
Miss Part 1 or Part 2? Read them now!
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
Real Estate Revisited, Part 2
ONLY THE SHADOW KNOWS
Not everyone is convinced that statistics tell the whole story, though. A scan of press reports produced more skeptics than adherents of the idea that home prices have reached a bottom. A recent Bloomberg article, for example, found only two votes for near-term stability, while five other experts saw prices falling by as much as 15% over the next few years.
Why the doom and gloom amid encouraging data? One reason is the threat of a "double-dip" recession. "We think a second round is reasonably likely," says Rob Arnott, chairman of Research Affiliates in Newport Beach, Calif. According to Arnott, just the threat of a tax boost could cause affluent consumers to spend less and turn a fragile recovery into a renewed recession. That would be troublesome for housing prices, which could fall another 10%-20%. "We don't see a bottom in housing prices until 2012," he says.
Arnott also mentions the huge "overhang" of houses that are in or near foreclosure as a factor that will increase the supply of homes on the market and thus put a lid on prices. This is the so-called shadow inventory of properties that are not on the market now but soon may be on sale. Some of those properties are held by banks after a foreclosure; others still belong to homeowners in some pre-foreclosure stage.
By some estimates, this shadow inventory is as large as seven million homes, which could go on the market in the next few years. Today, there are about four million existing homes for sale in the United States. If seven million homes are added, more than doubling for-sale listings, the surplus of sellers over buyers could drive down home prices even further, bearish forecasters predict.
WHERE CREDIT WAS DUE
Besides the shadow inventory, bears on housing prices point to another reason for doubting the staying power of recent home price stability-the expiration of housing tax credits. Throughout 2009 and into the second quarter of 2010, certain home buyers qualified for federal income tax savings of up to $8,000. According to NAR, an estimated 4.3 million home buyers were eligible to use the tax credits, including one million who might not have bought without the tax break.
If those million home buyers had kept their checkbooks closed, leaving an extra million homes on the market, prices probably would not have stabilized in 2009-2010. Now that the tax credits have expired, with no apparent renewal in sight, will flagging demand lead to a resumption of home price declines? "We see some footing in housing prices, but we're not far enough from the housing tax credits to see how solid the bottom is," Luschini says.
Perhaps the lack of tax credits won't cause a double-dip in home prices. "Our forecast for 2010 is for home prices to be essentially unchanged nationally from 2009," says Walter Molony, a spokesman for NAR. "Unless home sales remain depressed for more than a few months, we don't expect an impact on prices. Prices have overcorrected in some areas; homes are selling for less than replacement construction costs in many markets."
By: Donald Jay Korn
Check in tomorrow for Part 3!
Missed Part 1? Read it here?
Not everyone is convinced that statistics tell the whole story, though. A scan of press reports produced more skeptics than adherents of the idea that home prices have reached a bottom. A recent Bloomberg article, for example, found only two votes for near-term stability, while five other experts saw prices falling by as much as 15% over the next few years.
Why the doom and gloom amid encouraging data? One reason is the threat of a "double-dip" recession. "We think a second round is reasonably likely," says Rob Arnott, chairman of Research Affiliates in Newport Beach, Calif. According to Arnott, just the threat of a tax boost could cause affluent consumers to spend less and turn a fragile recovery into a renewed recession. That would be troublesome for housing prices, which could fall another 10%-20%. "We don't see a bottom in housing prices until 2012," he says.
Arnott also mentions the huge "overhang" of houses that are in or near foreclosure as a factor that will increase the supply of homes on the market and thus put a lid on prices. This is the so-called shadow inventory of properties that are not on the market now but soon may be on sale. Some of those properties are held by banks after a foreclosure; others still belong to homeowners in some pre-foreclosure stage.
By some estimates, this shadow inventory is as large as seven million homes, which could go on the market in the next few years. Today, there are about four million existing homes for sale in the United States. If seven million homes are added, more than doubling for-sale listings, the surplus of sellers over buyers could drive down home prices even further, bearish forecasters predict.
WHERE CREDIT WAS DUE
Besides the shadow inventory, bears on housing prices point to another reason for doubting the staying power of recent home price stability-the expiration of housing tax credits. Throughout 2009 and into the second quarter of 2010, certain home buyers qualified for federal income tax savings of up to $8,000. According to NAR, an estimated 4.3 million home buyers were eligible to use the tax credits, including one million who might not have bought without the tax break.
If those million home buyers had kept their checkbooks closed, leaving an extra million homes on the market, prices probably would not have stabilized in 2009-2010. Now that the tax credits have expired, with no apparent renewal in sight, will flagging demand lead to a resumption of home price declines? "We see some footing in housing prices, but we're not far enough from the housing tax credits to see how solid the bottom is," Luschini says.
Perhaps the lack of tax credits won't cause a double-dip in home prices. "Our forecast for 2010 is for home prices to be essentially unchanged nationally from 2009," says Walter Molony, a spokesman for NAR. "Unless home sales remain depressed for more than a few months, we don't expect an impact on prices. Prices have overcorrected in some areas; homes are selling for less than replacement construction costs in many markets."
By: Donald Jay Korn
Check in tomorrow for Part 3!
Missed Part 1? Read it here?
Monday, November 1, 2010
Real Estate Revisited
Real Estate Revisited
By Donald Jay Korn
Have real estate prices finally hit bottom? As far as home prices go, the data says they have. Prices are up across the board in 2010 compared to 2009. Many observers are doubtful, however, predicting further slippage. The pessimists point to the possibility of a double-dip recession, the expiration of housing tax credits and an increase in shadow inventory, as more troubled properties flood the market.
In fact, that inventory may be coming out of the shadows. There were more foreclosures this summer than in any three-month period since the housing bust began in 2006, according to RealtyTrac, a foreclosure listing service. Banks seized 288,345 properties in July through September, and are on pace to foreclose on 1.2 million homes by the end of 2010.
But the pipeline may slow due to a coordinated probe by the top prosecutors in all 50 states into improper foreclosures by the nation's largest loan servicers. The investigation comes after lawyers accused mortgage lenders of "robo-signing," or signing off on foreclosure documents without reviewing them as required by law.
Although the prosecutors have not called for mortgage lenders to freeze all foreclosures, mortgage lenders are taking various measures to ensure that their foreclosures are legal. As we went to press, Bank of America had halted foreclosure sales in all 50 states for a few weeks in October, and GMAC Mortgage and JPMorgan Chase stopped them in the 23 states that require court approval to complete foreclosures.
While the implications of these developments play out in the short term, it is becoming clear that lenders who have become major property owners, by default, may be manipulating the current housing cycle. "There are clear indications that the clogged foreclosure pipeline is being carefully managed on both ends by lenders and servicers," says James Saccacio, CEO of RealtyTrac in Irvine, Calif. In the longer term, such management might promote price stability (or stagnation, depending on one's point of view), both short- and long-term.
THE GOOD NEWS
According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the median sales price of existing family homes peaked in 2006 at $221,900. In 2009, that median price was $172,100-a drop of more than 22%. In the first seven months of 2010, the monthly medians ranged from $163,800 to $183,500, with the latest month (July) at $183,400. From July 2009 to July 2010, the median price was up 0.9%. Home prices in two out of four regions were up less than 5%, year over year, while the other two were down no more than 3%. Anyone looking for a statistical example of stability has found it.
Further evidence that housing prices have found a bottom comes from the Case Shiller 20-City Home Price Index. In the latest month to report-July 2010-prices were up 3.2% from a year earlier. "Ten of the 20 cities saw year-over-year gains and only one (Las Vegas) made a new bottom," says David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at Standard & Poor's. "Judging from the recent behavior of the housing market, stable prices seem more likely" than a return to the lofty levels of 2005-2006.
Some industry observers are encouraged by these statistics. "Home values have shown stabilizing trends over the past year," says Lawrence Yun, the chief economist at NAR. He credits home-buyer tax credits for stimulating sales and bolstering prices.
Yun adds that houses have become more affordable in today's market. According to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index, 72.3% of the homes sold in the second quarter of 2010 were affordable to families earning the national median income of $64,400. That's just a shade below the historic peak of 72.5%, in the first quarter of 2009, and far above the level of three years ago, when less than half of the families earning the median income could afford the median-priced home.
"Residential housing may be quite inexpensive now, with prices down and the low cost of servicing debt," says Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott in Philadelphia. "The huge number of homes for sale just adds to the appeal of a buyer's market," he says.
Besides lower home prices, record low interest rates are helping to make housing more affordable. In mid-October, rates on 30-year fixed mortgages remained below 5%, the lowest level since May of 2009, when 30-year rates settled at 4.81%.
By Donald Jay Korn
Have real estate prices finally hit bottom? As far as home prices go, the data says they have. Prices are up across the board in 2010 compared to 2009. Many observers are doubtful, however, predicting further slippage. The pessimists point to the possibility of a double-dip recession, the expiration of housing tax credits and an increase in shadow inventory, as more troubled properties flood the market.
In fact, that inventory may be coming out of the shadows. There were more foreclosures this summer than in any three-month period since the housing bust began in 2006, according to RealtyTrac, a foreclosure listing service. Banks seized 288,345 properties in July through September, and are on pace to foreclose on 1.2 million homes by the end of 2010.
But the pipeline may slow due to a coordinated probe by the top prosecutors in all 50 states into improper foreclosures by the nation's largest loan servicers. The investigation comes after lawyers accused mortgage lenders of "robo-signing," or signing off on foreclosure documents without reviewing them as required by law.
Although the prosecutors have not called for mortgage lenders to freeze all foreclosures, mortgage lenders are taking various measures to ensure that their foreclosures are legal. As we went to press, Bank of America had halted foreclosure sales in all 50 states for a few weeks in October, and GMAC Mortgage and JPMorgan Chase stopped them in the 23 states that require court approval to complete foreclosures.
While the implications of these developments play out in the short term, it is becoming clear that lenders who have become major property owners, by default, may be manipulating the current housing cycle. "There are clear indications that the clogged foreclosure pipeline is being carefully managed on both ends by lenders and servicers," says James Saccacio, CEO of RealtyTrac in Irvine, Calif. In the longer term, such management might promote price stability (or stagnation, depending on one's point of view), both short- and long-term.
THE GOOD NEWS
According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the median sales price of existing family homes peaked in 2006 at $221,900. In 2009, that median price was $172,100-a drop of more than 22%. In the first seven months of 2010, the monthly medians ranged from $163,800 to $183,500, with the latest month (July) at $183,400. From July 2009 to July 2010, the median price was up 0.9%. Home prices in two out of four regions were up less than 5%, year over year, while the other two were down no more than 3%. Anyone looking for a statistical example of stability has found it.
Further evidence that housing prices have found a bottom comes from the Case Shiller 20-City Home Price Index. In the latest month to report-July 2010-prices were up 3.2% from a year earlier. "Ten of the 20 cities saw year-over-year gains and only one (Las Vegas) made a new bottom," says David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at Standard & Poor's. "Judging from the recent behavior of the housing market, stable prices seem more likely" than a return to the lofty levels of 2005-2006.
Some industry observers are encouraged by these statistics. "Home values have shown stabilizing trends over the past year," says Lawrence Yun, the chief economist at NAR. He credits home-buyer tax credits for stimulating sales and bolstering prices.
Yun adds that houses have become more affordable in today's market. According to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index, 72.3% of the homes sold in the second quarter of 2010 were affordable to families earning the national median income of $64,400. That's just a shade below the historic peak of 72.5%, in the first quarter of 2009, and far above the level of three years ago, when less than half of the families earning the median income could afford the median-priced home.
"Residential housing may be quite inexpensive now, with prices down and the low cost of servicing debt," says Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott in Philadelphia. "The huge number of homes for sale just adds to the appeal of a buyer's market," he says.
Besides lower home prices, record low interest rates are helping to make housing more affordable. In mid-October, rates on 30-year fixed mortgages remained below 5%, the lowest level since May of 2009, when 30-year rates settled at 4.81%.
Thursday, September 23, 2010
Condo Deposits Must Be Returned Upon Request Judge Rules
Manhattan mega-developers are reeling after a federal judge ruled that complexes with more than 100 units must refund buyers' formerly non-refundable deposits upon request.
Manhattan Federal District Court P. Kevin Castel ruled Wednesday that developer Related Companies must pay back a $510,000 deposit — plus interest — to buyers wishing to back out of the deal, based on a slightly obscure 1968 law, the New York Times reported. Castel said an affiliate of Related Companies had failed to comply with a little-known federal law known as the Interstate Land Sales Full Disclosure Act.
The decision could allow buyers in any condo buildings with more than 100 units to get their deposits back, according to the Times.
"It's a free ticket out," one real estate lawyer told the newspaper.
Lawyers for Related told the Times they planned to appeal the decision.
By Nina Mandell, DNAinfo.com
Manhattan Federal District Court P. Kevin Castel ruled Wednesday that developer Related Companies must pay back a $510,000 deposit — plus interest — to buyers wishing to back out of the deal, based on a slightly obscure 1968 law, the New York Times reported. Castel said an affiliate of Related Companies had failed to comply with a little-known federal law known as the Interstate Land Sales Full Disclosure Act.
The decision could allow buyers in any condo buildings with more than 100 units to get their deposits back, according to the Times.
"It's a free ticket out," one real estate lawyer told the newspaper.
Lawyers for Related told the Times they planned to appeal the decision.
By Nina Mandell, DNAinfo.com
Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Chicago Home Sales
So - several of my clients sent me this article and asked for my comments. I thought I would share this with you too! If a few ask, perhaps more would like to know....
Here you go: Averages are meaningless in our specific luxury market - we are not in the slightest changed by the drop in the $8k tax credit as none of our buyers are in that market. As always, the important information to study for your particular sale or purchase is- building by building and then tier by tier within that building. Nothing else is relevant.
As an example, most units at Trump and Heritage are up 20% over 6 months ago if they are in the prime tiers. In the not prime tiers, it is another story. In some of our other buildings, sales prices are lower by as much as 20%, but there are usually additional reasons - assessments got too high, a special need or special assessment got bad word of mouth going, too many desperate sellers...reasons. But proper marketing and patience gets the job done.
Building by building, tier by tier.
Our Fox Group sales numbers this year are excellent. Out of 5,000 Keller Williams Groups nation-wide, we performed #3. Why? Luxury market, direct marketing techniques, not relying on the old way of doing business. Half of our sales are "on us", meaning we find the buyers through direct means. A lot of luxury buyers are interested in buying "up", enjoying a finer home in a somewhat uncertain economy. While our year would be LOTS better if interested buyers could sell their own homes (Domino Effect), we have some who either have successfully sold or who are buying without selling first.
Person by person, building by building, tier by tier.
We are bullish on our market segment and our numbers show it! Do sellers need patience? Yes. Are lowest price units selling first? Yes again. In my 20 years in real estate, I have never seen a better chance to buy. And if that means savvy, informed sellers may take a little less, then that dictates that they should do that - and buy into the best market they are likely to see in their lifetimes. Sell for less, buy for less still. And buy well so you can appreciate value increase over time.
Basics. Location, location, location? NO! Value, Value, Value.
Here you go: Averages are meaningless in our specific luxury market - we are not in the slightest changed by the drop in the $8k tax credit as none of our buyers are in that market. As always, the important information to study for your particular sale or purchase is- building by building and then tier by tier within that building. Nothing else is relevant.
As an example, most units at Trump and Heritage are up 20% over 6 months ago if they are in the prime tiers. In the not prime tiers, it is another story. In some of our other buildings, sales prices are lower by as much as 20%, but there are usually additional reasons - assessments got too high, a special need or special assessment got bad word of mouth going, too many desperate sellers...reasons. But proper marketing and patience gets the job done.
Building by building, tier by tier.
Our Fox Group sales numbers this year are excellent. Out of 5,000 Keller Williams Groups nation-wide, we performed #3. Why? Luxury market, direct marketing techniques, not relying on the old way of doing business. Half of our sales are "on us", meaning we find the buyers through direct means. A lot of luxury buyers are interested in buying "up", enjoying a finer home in a somewhat uncertain economy. While our year would be LOTS better if interested buyers could sell their own homes (Domino Effect), we have some who either have successfully sold or who are buying without selling first.
Person by person, building by building, tier by tier.
We are bullish on our market segment and our numbers show it! Do sellers need patience? Yes. Are lowest price units selling first? Yes again. In my 20 years in real estate, I have never seen a better chance to buy. And if that means savvy, informed sellers may take a little less, then that dictates that they should do that - and buy into the best market they are likely to see in their lifetimes. Sell for less, buy for less still. And buy well so you can appreciate value increase over time.
Basics. Location, location, location? NO! Value, Value, Value.
Wednesday, August 11, 2010
Tricia Fox Group Sells Chicago!
The Tricia Fox Group is the 7th highest producing group in Keller Williams for the year to date (January to July)! We have had over $48 million in sales this year.
Local expertise, global reach, and experienced negotiators thinking outside the box. See what the Tricia Fox Group can do for you.
Local expertise, global reach, and experienced negotiators thinking outside the box. See what the Tricia Fox Group can do for you.
Thursday, July 29, 2010
What's Driving the Sale of Downtown Luxury Condos?
By Dennis Rodkin, Chicago Magazine
In the first few months of 2010, as some local developers slashed prices or staged auctions on their newly built condominiums, a small segment at the upper end of the condo market flourished. As Gail Lissner of Appraisal Research Counselors notes, “There are always wealthy people with the ability to buy.” The big difference lately is that those well-heeled folks have been shelling out princely sums to buy luxurious new condos in downtown high-rises. “These are not speculators buying cookie-cutter condos,” says Lissner. “By and large, they are buying to live in these really high-end, unique places.”
Consider these numbers: From the beginning of the year until the middle of May, about 40 downtown condos have been sold for $2 million or more—and most of those condos were in buildings that opened in the last two years. (Some sales may have not yet appeared in public records.) They ranged from an $8.182-million sale at the Elysian—the 60-story tower at 11 East Walton Street designed by Lucien Lagrange—to a three-bedroom unit that went for a little more than $2.24 million at Aqua, the much-praised skyscraper at 225 North Columbus Drive that Jeanne Gang designed for Magellan Development. (The Elysian sale was the highest price paid for a Chicago condo since November 2006, when a 61st-floor unit at the Park Tower—at 800 North Michigan Avenue—went for $8.275 million.)
What’s driving the sales? To update an old real-estate adage: timing, timing, timing. Many of these new elite homeowners made their decision to buy several years ago, while buildings were under construction or still in the planning stage—and before the recession punctured the real-estate boom. With those condo towers now ready for residents, the folks who agreed years ago to buy are finally inking the deals.
That’s generally what’s been happening at the Elysian, according to Caryl Dillon, who was the tower’s sales agent. Since January 1st, at least 16 buyers there closed on condos priced at $2 million or more (in addition to the $8.182-million sale already mentioned, one condo went for $7.25 million and another for $6.9 million). That’s on top of a first round of December 2009 closings at $2 million and up. Meanwhile, at The Legacy (which recently opened at 60 East Monroe Street), three units priced at more than $2 million were among the first closings in the building—and usually the earliest buyers sign off on the earliest closings. (Since condos on a building’s bottom floors are often finished first, some lower-level, lower-priced units bought during construction can also be among the earliest closings.)
Buyers who signed contracts before the bust could have opted to cancel their contracts when the economy soured—as did numerous buyers of medium-priced homes. But “10 percent [the standard deposit on a condo] is a lot to walk away from” on a multimillion-dollar sale, Lissner says. Still, as she suggests, it’s also likely that for many of these rich buyers “their lifestyle hasn’t changed in the downturn.”
Janet Owen, a Sudler Sotheby’s International agent who works exclusively in the luxury market, points out that many rich people have not had to worry about the tight mortgage-financing climate that has contributed to the drag on the larger real-estate market. Mortgage lenders have been requiring bigger down payments, higher credit scores, and more detailed documentation of financial histories from average buyers. “These aren’t issues [wealthy potential homeowners] have to think about,” says Owen. On top of this, she notes, “their buying had nothing to do with the $8,000 federal tax credit.”
That is especially true of well-to-do buyers who made their purchase decisions recently. In early May, someone paid $2.3 million for a previously owned condo on the 51st floor of the Trump International Hotel & Tower (that building, at 401 North Wabash Avenue, opened in 2008). Another buyer spent $3.45 million in April for a 54th–floor condo at 55 East Erie that an investor had held on to since 2003. These new purchasers “are almost always cash buyers,” says Tere Proctor, who was the director of sales at Trump before returning to agency work (at Koenig & Strey Real Living). “They see the value in buildings like Trump and the Elysian, and they’re banking on knowing that whenever the market gets better, they will be holding valuable real estate.”
Read the full article and see building highlights here.
In the first few months of 2010, as some local developers slashed prices or staged auctions on their newly built condominiums, a small segment at the upper end of the condo market flourished. As Gail Lissner of Appraisal Research Counselors notes, “There are always wealthy people with the ability to buy.” The big difference lately is that those well-heeled folks have been shelling out princely sums to buy luxurious new condos in downtown high-rises. “These are not speculators buying cookie-cutter condos,” says Lissner. “By and large, they are buying to live in these really high-end, unique places.”
Consider these numbers: From the beginning of the year until the middle of May, about 40 downtown condos have been sold for $2 million or more—and most of those condos were in buildings that opened in the last two years. (Some sales may have not yet appeared in public records.) They ranged from an $8.182-million sale at the Elysian—the 60-story tower at 11 East Walton Street designed by Lucien Lagrange—to a three-bedroom unit that went for a little more than $2.24 million at Aqua, the much-praised skyscraper at 225 North Columbus Drive that Jeanne Gang designed for Magellan Development. (The Elysian sale was the highest price paid for a Chicago condo since November 2006, when a 61st-floor unit at the Park Tower—at 800 North Michigan Avenue—went for $8.275 million.)
What’s driving the sales? To update an old real-estate adage: timing, timing, timing. Many of these new elite homeowners made their decision to buy several years ago, while buildings were under construction or still in the planning stage—and before the recession punctured the real-estate boom. With those condo towers now ready for residents, the folks who agreed years ago to buy are finally inking the deals.
That’s generally what’s been happening at the Elysian, according to Caryl Dillon, who was the tower’s sales agent. Since January 1st, at least 16 buyers there closed on condos priced at $2 million or more (in addition to the $8.182-million sale already mentioned, one condo went for $7.25 million and another for $6.9 million). That’s on top of a first round of December 2009 closings at $2 million and up. Meanwhile, at The Legacy (which recently opened at 60 East Monroe Street), three units priced at more than $2 million were among the first closings in the building—and usually the earliest buyers sign off on the earliest closings. (Since condos on a building’s bottom floors are often finished first, some lower-level, lower-priced units bought during construction can also be among the earliest closings.)
Buyers who signed contracts before the bust could have opted to cancel their contracts when the economy soured—as did numerous buyers of medium-priced homes. But “10 percent [the standard deposit on a condo] is a lot to walk away from” on a multimillion-dollar sale, Lissner says. Still, as she suggests, it’s also likely that for many of these rich buyers “their lifestyle hasn’t changed in the downturn.”
Janet Owen, a Sudler Sotheby’s International agent who works exclusively in the luxury market, points out that many rich people have not had to worry about the tight mortgage-financing climate that has contributed to the drag on the larger real-estate market. Mortgage lenders have been requiring bigger down payments, higher credit scores, and more detailed documentation of financial histories from average buyers. “These aren’t issues [wealthy potential homeowners] have to think about,” says Owen. On top of this, she notes, “their buying had nothing to do with the $8,000 federal tax credit.”
That is especially true of well-to-do buyers who made their purchase decisions recently. In early May, someone paid $2.3 million for a previously owned condo on the 51st floor of the Trump International Hotel & Tower (that building, at 401 North Wabash Avenue, opened in 2008). Another buyer spent $3.45 million in April for a 54th–floor condo at 55 East Erie that an investor had held on to since 2003. These new purchasers “are almost always cash buyers,” says Tere Proctor, who was the director of sales at Trump before returning to agency work (at Koenig & Strey Real Living). “They see the value in buildings like Trump and the Elysian, and they’re banking on knowing that whenever the market gets better, they will be holding valuable real estate.”
Read the full article and see building highlights here.
Wednesday, July 28, 2010
Home Affordability is the best it has been in decades!
Daniel Kelley is the lead real estate analyst and portfolio manager of the Fidelity Select Construction and Housing Portfolio.
"Having just gone through a potentially once-in-a-lifetime down market, there is a bright light. Home affordability is the best in decades. In fact, on average, today's homebuyers have the lowest mortgage payments as a percentage of income in 30 years," wrote Kelley in a recent research report.
"Having just gone through a potentially once-in-a-lifetime down market, there is a bright light. Home affordability is the best in decades. In fact, on average, today's homebuyers have the lowest mortgage payments as a percentage of income in 30 years," wrote Kelley in a recent research report.
Friday, July 16, 2010
Highlights Around Town for the Month of July
Looking for some summer fun? Try one of these events!
• The River North scene will take center stage again at the Taste of River North, Saturday, July 17th 12pm-10pm and Sunday, July 18th 11am-8pm. Located in and around magnificent Erie Park, this fest gives food lovers and weary art shoppers a taste of the best of everything the trendy River North neighborhood has to offer along a picturesque green riverfront setting. Near Erie & Kingsbury.
• The Dearborn Garden Walk, Sunday, July 18, and the Chicago Yacht Club’s Race to Mackinac, Saturday, July 24! These two colorful & memorable events have always made the middle of summer most enjoyable by showcasing warm weather enjoyment on land and in water!
• Your love of flowers will flourish on as you also enjoy the Sheffield Garden Walk, July 17 & 18 as well as the continuing Summer Tropical Flower Show at the Garfield Park Conservatory here through September 26. The show is featuring Chicago-weather friendly fauna to enjoy throughout the year.
• Enjoy an evening of music in one of our many intimate music venues in and around Chicago! David Sanborn will be performing his long known sweet jazz saxophone Saturday, July 31 in Wentz Concert Hall at North Central College in Naperville. Andrea Marcovicci will serenade you with her soft & melancholy voice July 14 – 18 At Davenport’s Piano Bar & Cabaret. For something a little hotter, enjoy Chichito Valdes Afro-Cuban Ensemble July 23 & 24 at the Green Mill
• Want to get away? Day-Tripping is the way to go! A day in the country is a sure way to revive yourself from the daily city grind! County fairs abound with all the fun food and events that are a traditional part of them! The Kane County Fair in St. Charles, July 14-18; The DuPage County Fair in Wheaton, July 21-24; The Lake County Fair in Grayslake, July 27 though Aug 1
• Still can’t come back inside because the weather is so nice? How about an outdoor concert? Millennium Park & Ravinia are offering a wonderful line-up of classical favorites! If classic rock is more your style, Chicago will be performing with the Doobie Brothers on Friday, July 16 and REO Speedwagon along with Pat Benatar, Sunday, July 18 at Carter One Pavilion at Northerly Island.
• Art fairs are also a wonderful way to get a nice walk in as part of your exercise routine while enjoying the talents of many local and national artists as they showcase their sculptures and painting. The North Shore Festival of Art will be held July 25 - 26 in Skokie.
• The Gold Coast Art Fair! This year the fair has a new address…Butler Field in Grant Park! Save the Date! Aug 20-22
• The River North scene will take center stage again at the Taste of River North, Saturday, July 17th 12pm-10pm and Sunday, July 18th 11am-8pm. Located in and around magnificent Erie Park, this fest gives food lovers and weary art shoppers a taste of the best of everything the trendy River North neighborhood has to offer along a picturesque green riverfront setting. Near Erie & Kingsbury.
• The Dearborn Garden Walk, Sunday, July 18, and the Chicago Yacht Club’s Race to Mackinac, Saturday, July 24! These two colorful & memorable events have always made the middle of summer most enjoyable by showcasing warm weather enjoyment on land and in water!
• Your love of flowers will flourish on as you also enjoy the Sheffield Garden Walk, July 17 & 18 as well as the continuing Summer Tropical Flower Show at the Garfield Park Conservatory here through September 26. The show is featuring Chicago-weather friendly fauna to enjoy throughout the year.
• Enjoy an evening of music in one of our many intimate music venues in and around Chicago! David Sanborn will be performing his long known sweet jazz saxophone Saturday, July 31 in Wentz Concert Hall at North Central College in Naperville. Andrea Marcovicci will serenade you with her soft & melancholy voice July 14 – 18 At Davenport’s Piano Bar & Cabaret. For something a little hotter, enjoy Chichito Valdes Afro-Cuban Ensemble July 23 & 24 at the Green Mill
• Want to get away? Day-Tripping is the way to go! A day in the country is a sure way to revive yourself from the daily city grind! County fairs abound with all the fun food and events that are a traditional part of them! The Kane County Fair in St. Charles, July 14-18; The DuPage County Fair in Wheaton, July 21-24; The Lake County Fair in Grayslake, July 27 though Aug 1
• Still can’t come back inside because the weather is so nice? How about an outdoor concert? Millennium Park & Ravinia are offering a wonderful line-up of classical favorites! If classic rock is more your style, Chicago will be performing with the Doobie Brothers on Friday, July 16 and REO Speedwagon along with Pat Benatar, Sunday, July 18 at Carter One Pavilion at Northerly Island.
• Art fairs are also a wonderful way to get a nice walk in as part of your exercise routine while enjoying the talents of many local and national artists as they showcase their sculptures and painting. The North Shore Festival of Art will be held July 25 - 26 in Skokie.
• The Gold Coast Art Fair! This year the fair has a new address…Butler Field in Grant Park! Save the Date! Aug 20-22
Tuesday, July 13, 2010
NOTICE OF MOVIE FILMING IN THE AREA
DW Studios Productions is currently filming scenes for the upcoming motion picture “Transformers 3” in the area. One of the principal locations in the film is Michigan Avenue in the vicinity of the Chicago River. Major filming with special effects is scheduled for Friday, July 16th, Saturday, July 17th and Sunday, July 18th from approximately 7am until 7pm. Scenes will include low flying helicopters and special effects such as gunfire, spark hits, explosions, fireballs and black smoke.
Please note the following proposed schedule for the area:
Tuesday, July 13th 8am to mid-morning: 1-2 helicopters flying closely at the top of the Trump Tower.
Thursday, July 15th 8pm – Monday, July 19th 5am: Michigan Avenue between Ohio and Wacker Drive will be closed. Lower Michigan Avenue will be available to vehicular traffic until Friday July 16th at 8pm. During these days, the loudest stunts and special effects will be filmed. Please note that gunfire and explosions will take place after 8am on Saturday, July 17th and Sunday, July 18th.
Saturday, July 17th and Sunday, July 18th from 7am throughout the morning: Precision skydivers with parachutes will be flying around the building and landing on the Michigan Avenue Bridge. They will be circling along the Chicago River. This will result in occasional closures for 10-15 minute periods for affected streets below the fly zone. This will include a lockdown of vehicular and pedestrian traffic. Areas expected to be affected include:
Hubbard between Clark and State
Kinzie between Clark & State
Dearborn between Wacker and Hubbard
State between Wacker and Hubbard
Wabash between Wacker and Kinzie
Monday, July 19th from 10am-4pm: 3 Base jumpers will be jumping from the Trump Tower roof to the south side of the Tower. The River Walk will be closed during this time. Additional closures may occur as necessary.
Tuesday, July 20th from 10am-4pm: If weather is inclement on Monday, July 19th this is the back-up date for the base jumpers.
Monday, July 19th - Wednesday, July 21st: Filming will occur at Hotel 71 and expected closures include Wacker from Michigan to Wabash as well as intermittent traffic control on nearby streets.
Saturday, July 24th – Tuesday, July 27th and Saturday, July 31st - Sunday, August 1st: Filming will occur at 35 E. Wacker and expected closures include portions of Wabash and Wacker as well as intermittent traffic control on nearby streets.
Tuesday, July 27th: Filming will occur in immediate areas surrounding Trump Tower and there will be intermittent traffic control in the area. Filming will also include helicopters.
Please note that businesses in the affected areas are scheduled to remain open during this time. Bus stops on North Michigan Avenue between Ontario and Wacker will be relocated. Signs are expected to be posted. Please be advised that loading zones for boats along the river may be relocated and signage will be posted indicating the alternate loading zones.
Public Assistance personnel will be placed at the pedestrian lock-up points and will provide detour information. The personnel will be wearing yellow shirts with the “Transformers” logo.
Please note the following proposed schedule for the area:
Tuesday, July 13th 8am to mid-morning: 1-2 helicopters flying closely at the top of the Trump Tower.
Thursday, July 15th 8pm – Monday, July 19th 5am: Michigan Avenue between Ohio and Wacker Drive will be closed. Lower Michigan Avenue will be available to vehicular traffic until Friday July 16th at 8pm. During these days, the loudest stunts and special effects will be filmed. Please note that gunfire and explosions will take place after 8am on Saturday, July 17th and Sunday, July 18th.
Saturday, July 17th and Sunday, July 18th from 7am throughout the morning: Precision skydivers with parachutes will be flying around the building and landing on the Michigan Avenue Bridge. They will be circling along the Chicago River. This will result in occasional closures for 10-15 minute periods for affected streets below the fly zone. This will include a lockdown of vehicular and pedestrian traffic. Areas expected to be affected include:
Hubbard between Clark and State
Kinzie between Clark & State
Dearborn between Wacker and Hubbard
State between Wacker and Hubbard
Wabash between Wacker and Kinzie
Monday, July 19th from 10am-4pm: 3 Base jumpers will be jumping from the Trump Tower roof to the south side of the Tower. The River Walk will be closed during this time. Additional closures may occur as necessary.
Tuesday, July 20th from 10am-4pm: If weather is inclement on Monday, July 19th this is the back-up date for the base jumpers.
Monday, July 19th - Wednesday, July 21st: Filming will occur at Hotel 71 and expected closures include Wacker from Michigan to Wabash as well as intermittent traffic control on nearby streets.
Saturday, July 24th – Tuesday, July 27th and Saturday, July 31st - Sunday, August 1st: Filming will occur at 35 E. Wacker and expected closures include portions of Wabash and Wacker as well as intermittent traffic control on nearby streets.
Tuesday, July 27th: Filming will occur in immediate areas surrounding Trump Tower and there will be intermittent traffic control in the area. Filming will also include helicopters.
Please note that businesses in the affected areas are scheduled to remain open during this time. Bus stops on North Michigan Avenue between Ontario and Wacker will be relocated. Signs are expected to be posted. Please be advised that loading zones for boats along the river may be relocated and signage will be posted indicating the alternate loading zones.
Public Assistance personnel will be placed at the pedestrian lock-up points and will provide detour information. The personnel will be wearing yellow shirts with the “Transformers” logo.
Monday, July 12, 2010
Chicago's Trump Hotel towers above U.S., Canadian rivals
The Donald's got The Best, at least according to Travel + Leisure magazine.
Trump International Hotel & Tower Chicago is ranked in the magazine August's issue as the No. 1 large city hotel in the U.S. and Canada.
The 339 rooms in the hotel are on floors 14 through 27 of the 92-story tower at 401 N. Wabash -- the former site of the Sun-Times Building.
Donald Trump, in a statement, called the honor "tremendous."
"With Trump Hotel Collection, we set out to invent the next generation of luxury hospitality," said Trump, chairman and president of The Trump Organization. "We are committed to bringing the best design, service and amenities to the market."
The Peninsula hotel at 108 E. Superior ranked No. 2 on the Travel + Leisure list.
July 9, 2010, SUN-TIMES STAFF
Trump International Hotel & Tower Chicago is ranked in the magazine August's issue as the No. 1 large city hotel in the U.S. and Canada.
The 339 rooms in the hotel are on floors 14 through 27 of the 92-story tower at 401 N. Wabash -- the former site of the Sun-Times Building.
Donald Trump, in a statement, called the honor "tremendous."
"With Trump Hotel Collection, we set out to invent the next generation of luxury hospitality," said Trump, chairman and president of The Trump Organization. "We are committed to bringing the best design, service and amenities to the market."
The Peninsula hotel at 108 E. Superior ranked No. 2 on the Travel + Leisure list.
July 9, 2010, SUN-TIMES STAFF
Thursday, July 8, 2010
CATERING TO SENIORS CAN MAKE YOUR BUSINESS BOOM
Even when business isn’t booming, there are still plenty of opportunities to enter the senior market, especially since baby boomers often seek a simpler way of life regardless of the push or pull of market forces. Boomers are an ever-growing market segment, and they are more active and picky than the 50+ buyers in the past. Whether you’ve been working in the senior market for ages or are just looking to discover its hidden potential, you must understand how to cater to boomers’ needs to tap into a market that may lead you to new success.
Taking the Additional Time to Make a Senior Sale
To meet seniors’ long-term needs, agents and developers say selling to baby boomers often takes longer than selling to younger clients. Lucchetti notes the emotional attachment seniors have to their homes – some of which they have lived in for a lifetime – often leads to a longer lead time before they make the final move.
Hartz notes that senior buyers are often cautious and conservative – particularly in this market. However, they often move quickly when they sell their property as they are ready for the next step in their life and can be cash buyers – a huge plus in any market.
Since the sale can take longer with boomers, agents must be persistent in their communication with clients. Thompson uses newsletters and community outreach to stay in contact with seniors, while communicating with their relatives through e-mail. She says you must build a relationship over time to gain their trust, which requires you to stay in touch with them frequently.
Just because these clients are more mature, it doesn’t mean they are still living in the dark ages. Tricia Fox of Keller Williams Luxury Homes says she e-mails back and forth with most baby boomer clients, and occasionally texts with those savvy enough to do so. Find out which method of communication works best for the client, and proceed accordingly.
“Knowing the effects that arthritis, as well as loss of hearing and vision, can have on communication and decision making has a big impact on how you deal with boomers and other seniors,” says Kunicki.
How You Can Benefit from Boomer Business
Despite all the additional work required, Fox says the senior market is the “best market” to be in at the moment, as many seniors are buying a second home or downsizing and embracing the Chicago area.
While it is not always true, oftentimes boomers are the ones out there with money to spend. Boomer Project founder/president Matt Thornhill claims that the over-50 crowd outspends the under-50 crowd by $400 billion. Additionally, the latest survey conducted by ProMatura Group found that 50+ sentiment is on the rise, and that 50+ primary home purchases have risen by 5 percent. With more years in the workforce, boomers have the potential to spend a lot more money on their next step in life.
With Social Security no longer a primary source of income for many boomers, there is a growing trend of delaying retirement. The Del Webb survey found that boomers turning 50 this year plan to retire a median of four years later than 50 year olds in 1996, at age 67 versus 63. Among the younger boomers, 72 percent plan to work in some fashion during their retirement years. With more and more seniors continuing to work and putting off retirement, many are no longer interested in communities that are far from employment opportunities.
When it comes to the bottom line, most agents claim the commission in the senior market is comparable to the pre-retirement age market. Additionally, some independent senior communities offering rental properties, such as LaGrange Pointe in LaGrange, provide commission to agents.
Overall, boomers and seniors are not a market to be ignored. The U.S. Census states that the over-50 crowd will grow 21 percent in size in 10 years, while the 18 to 49 population will remain the same size. As the number increases, so do your opportunities to find additional clients – and sales. Those who cater to the senior market may find that their business grows on all fronts, if they take the time to understand the specific and changing needs of baby boomers and their families.
For the full article click here.
Morgan Phelps, Chicago Agent Magazine
Taking the Additional Time to Make a Senior Sale
To meet seniors’ long-term needs, agents and developers say selling to baby boomers often takes longer than selling to younger clients. Lucchetti notes the emotional attachment seniors have to their homes – some of which they have lived in for a lifetime – often leads to a longer lead time before they make the final move.
Hartz notes that senior buyers are often cautious and conservative – particularly in this market. However, they often move quickly when they sell their property as they are ready for the next step in their life and can be cash buyers – a huge plus in any market.
Since the sale can take longer with boomers, agents must be persistent in their communication with clients. Thompson uses newsletters and community outreach to stay in contact with seniors, while communicating with their relatives through e-mail. She says you must build a relationship over time to gain their trust, which requires you to stay in touch with them frequently.
Just because these clients are more mature, it doesn’t mean they are still living in the dark ages. Tricia Fox of Keller Williams Luxury Homes says she e-mails back and forth with most baby boomer clients, and occasionally texts with those savvy enough to do so. Find out which method of communication works best for the client, and proceed accordingly.
“Knowing the effects that arthritis, as well as loss of hearing and vision, can have on communication and decision making has a big impact on how you deal with boomers and other seniors,” says Kunicki.
How You Can Benefit from Boomer Business
Despite all the additional work required, Fox says the senior market is the “best market” to be in at the moment, as many seniors are buying a second home or downsizing and embracing the Chicago area.
While it is not always true, oftentimes boomers are the ones out there with money to spend. Boomer Project founder/president Matt Thornhill claims that the over-50 crowd outspends the under-50 crowd by $400 billion. Additionally, the latest survey conducted by ProMatura Group found that 50+ sentiment is on the rise, and that 50+ primary home purchases have risen by 5 percent. With more years in the workforce, boomers have the potential to spend a lot more money on their next step in life.
With Social Security no longer a primary source of income for many boomers, there is a growing trend of delaying retirement. The Del Webb survey found that boomers turning 50 this year plan to retire a median of four years later than 50 year olds in 1996, at age 67 versus 63. Among the younger boomers, 72 percent plan to work in some fashion during their retirement years. With more and more seniors continuing to work and putting off retirement, many are no longer interested in communities that are far from employment opportunities.
When it comes to the bottom line, most agents claim the commission in the senior market is comparable to the pre-retirement age market. Additionally, some independent senior communities offering rental properties, such as LaGrange Pointe in LaGrange, provide commission to agents.
Overall, boomers and seniors are not a market to be ignored. The U.S. Census states that the over-50 crowd will grow 21 percent in size in 10 years, while the 18 to 49 population will remain the same size. As the number increases, so do your opportunities to find additional clients – and sales. Those who cater to the senior market may find that their business grows on all fronts, if they take the time to understand the specific and changing needs of baby boomers and their families.
For the full article click here.
Morgan Phelps, Chicago Agent Magazine
Wednesday, July 7, 2010
YTD condo closings up 45% over 2009
In the first six months of this year, condo sales have dramatically increased compared to the first half of 2009. And June closings were up 26% over May.
According to figures generated for ChicagoCondosOnline.com by MRED, the regional MLS, year-to-date sales of Chicago condos through June 2010 are:
* Up 42% in total dollar volume, to $1.8 billion
* Up 45% in units closed, to 5,630
* Down 6% in median sales price, to $263,700
* Down 6% in average market time, to 148 days.
Comparing June sales to May:
* Units closed were up 26%, from 1,083 to 1,365 closings
* Dollar volume was up 27%, from $341 million to $434 million
* Median sales price was up 2%, from $264,900 to $270,000
* Average market time was flat, at 144 days
For details on month-over-month and year-over-year: click here.
For previous market reports: click here.
According to figures generated for ChicagoCondosOnline.com by MRED, the regional MLS, year-to-date sales of Chicago condos through June 2010 are:
* Up 42% in total dollar volume, to $1.8 billion
* Up 45% in units closed, to 5,630
* Down 6% in median sales price, to $263,700
* Down 6% in average market time, to 148 days.
Comparing June sales to May:
* Units closed were up 26%, from 1,083 to 1,365 closings
* Dollar volume was up 27%, from $341 million to $434 million
* Median sales price was up 2%, from $264,900 to $270,000
* Average market time was flat, at 144 days
For details on month-over-month and year-over-year: click here.
For previous market reports: click here.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Chicago Home Sales
Crain's reported today..
The Chicago-area index seemed to hit bottom in April 2009, after a 27.4% drop from its September 2006 peak. The index rose steadily through last September but then started falling again. It now stands 28.6% below its peak and roughly where it was in May 2002.
S&P also reported that an index of Chicago-area condominium prices rose 5.2% from March to April. The local condo index fell 6.7% on a year-over-year basis and was down 22.5% from its peak in September 2007.
The Chicago-area index seemed to hit bottom in April 2009, after a 27.4% drop from its September 2006 peak. The index rose steadily through last September but then started falling again. It now stands 28.6% below its peak and roughly where it was in May 2002.
S&P also reported that an index of Chicago-area condominium prices rose 5.2% from March to April. The local condo index fell 6.7% on a year-over-year basis and was down 22.5% from its peak in September 2007.
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